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Using The Valuation Model - Terminology
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This Week's Dow Jones 30 Valuations
MBAnalysis
Value Investing Common Sense Tips and Hints
If you are new to using the Valuation Model,
it would be helpful to define the terms applied. Most terms and definitions
can be found in any dictionary of financial terminology. Some terms proprietary
to our model, will not be easily found.
- Value Growth -- Value Growth
is a measure of the anticipated growth and yield, discounted by P/E and
expressed as a percentage. It represents the likely performance of a given
issue relative to the market as a whole. Those greater than
the current average or an arbitrary 100%, should perform better than the
market average. Those less than the current average or an arbitrary 100%
should perform less well than the market average. From time to time the
average value of the market may vary from 60% to 120% depending on the
selected universe of issues. This method gauges
the growth and the cost of buying earnings for a given issue. OTC
Stocks of course, should be expected to have higher values relative to
large cap slower growth issues.
- HIGH - LOW - FAIR Based
on current information, FAIR is our calculated Fair Value for this issue.
The High and Low are the range of prices that should contain all movement
in an issue's price. Extreme ranging in HIGH
- LOW, as well as negative values, should alert the reader to potentially
aberrant conditions that have skewed the valuation, thereby questioning
it's validity. We question
such issues and their values..
- Percentage Over / Under - Represents
the percentage that the current price is Over
or Under fair value.
- Color Designation -- An important ingredient in the process
of selection is our proprietary Color Designation assigned to each issue.
Color designation is determined on the basis
of expected relative price movement primarily in the 3-6 month horizon
and predicted relative market performance in the year ahead.
Upgrades and downgrades in subsequent reports as shown by changes in color,
should guide you in your decisions.
- Yellow -- The most positive of the designations
indicates expected out performance. Cautious Buying and Holding for further
appreciation is suggested. Issues dropping from Yellow to a lesser designation
should be considered for sale.
- Green -- Green
designations signal good opportunities for possible accumulation . Such
issues are expected to perform in-line with the market overall. These issues
may be held in anticipation of better future performance or upgrades in
color.
- Blue -- Blue
designations suggest under-performance relative to the market. Caution
is in order. Issues rising from RED designation to blue may signal better
potential. Falling color designation to BLUE should alert one to a potential
for under-performance.
- RED -- Red designations
identify issues to be avoided now. These issues are expected to under-perform
significantly.
- Clear -- Issues designated as Clear
are NOT RATED. Usually this designation marks the many over-the-counter
issues which we do not rate.
Signals -- If Signal is BUY or SELL it should alert the
reader to a substantially over or under valued issue. Remember,
an issue that is aberrantly over or under valued may be that way for good
reason, such as news of takeovers or introduction of new product, and could
stay in that condition for an extended time. In and
of itself, this indicator should not cause the reader to act unless other
values, signals, and further research on the reader's part confirm this
indicator.
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No product of MB Analysis is intended
to constitute the sole source of research or guidance for any investment
decision made or contemplated by any investor or investment group. Further
information and research beyond those afforded by MB Analysis should be
complete before any decision is made by any investor or investors' group
to buy, to sell or to hold any equity or debt or any instrument derivative
thereof.
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